Exbookie wants to help the players Round 1 playoffs

[ACE-ACE]

bankroll $75,000

my Formula System play 21-13-2 62%

Investment 20-11-1 +$17,895.00

Action 35-31 +$1457.00

Bankroll now $94,352.00


want you to see "myline" like I see it



myline
.....................YEAR................LAST 8....................LAST 4
BALT -2.5
KC...................-6.5....................-3.............................PK

GB....................-8......................-8.5..........................-7
PHI -2.5


NYJ....................-4........................-5..........................-2
IND-3



NO-10.5..............-7........................-4...........................-1.5
SEA

as you see this show a view for the dog!

but each one gets weaker at the weeks go down.....hmmm

?....how would you read those numbers?


lineoff

next round there is not one team with a minus lineoff

never!!!....I will say it again....never has a team with a minus lineoff
made it to the super bowl!!!!

this week

SEA -54
NYJ +20
IND-26
KC +35
BAL+24
GB +99
PHI +7
NO-5
ONLY 3 TEAM WITH MINUS!!!

THE BEST VS THE WORST IN TURN OVERS

SEA 32 AND NO AT 32
KC 16


TIME...HOW A TEAM PLAYS

GB +29
BAL +12
KC +19
IND -10
NYJ +31
SEA -32
PHI +26
NO +22


MORE TO COME


ACE

 

[Rawhide]

One question ACE...

You say a team has never gone to the Super Bowl with a - Negative line off #...Does that include the entire playoffs?....my point is, its possible for NO to turn its line off # to a positive number if it rolls through the playoffs

 

[gskiman]

bankroll $75,000

my Formula System play 21-13-2 62%

Investment 20-11-1 +$17,895.00

ACE

WK 17 NYG -4 lost, making the "99", my Formula System play 21-14-2.

 

[3pointdog]

Ace... looks like we have some live dogs this weekend huh?? although i think Balt is too physical for KC... do you agree?? that line scares me though holding at -3 with a big % on balt...
saints outdoors will be tough... lots of points on the road...but seahawks sooo bad, can they score enough to keep it close?
GB will take care of Phili, eagles secondary playing terrible, rodgers should cut them up, who needs a running game, they havn't had one all year!!
payton at home?? or sanchez on the road... ?? tight game there... coin flip, but jets better D

thoughts??

 

[ACE-ACE]

One question ACE...

You say a team has never gone to the Super Bowl with a - Negative line off #...Does that include the entire playoffs?....my point is, its possible for NO to turn its line off # to a positive number if it rolls through the playoffs

only 3 that are negative and NO could turn it around....but...as I see it they will not make it to the super bowl!

 

[ACE-ACE]

WK 17 NYG -4 lost, making the "99", my Formula System play 21-14-2.

your right

 

[ACE-ACE]

Ace... looks like we have some live dogs this weekend huh?? although i think Balt is too physical for KC... do you agree?? that line scares me though holding at -3 with a big % on balt...
saints outdoors will be tough... lots of points on the road...but seahawks sooo bad, can they score enough to keep it close?
GB will take care of Phili, eagles secondary playing terrible, rodgers should cut them up, who needs a running game, they havn't had one all year!!
payton at home?? or sanchez on the road... ?? tight game there... coin flip, but jets better D

thoughts??

I agree with most that you say...love Vic but GB has all the good numbers!......balt looks like the better team...but KC has the numbers.

toss up game on Ind....only see one good edge on that game that maybe a play.

still doing my system playoff numbers!

 

[Gravy]

Is that the highest number you had doing this with GB at +99 ?

 

[ACE-ACE]

Is that the highest number you had doing this with GB at +99 ?

next round
NE +128...HIGHEST OF ALL TEAMS
PIT+62
ATL+67
CHI +36

 

[ACE-ACE]

Fact

ats only 3 teams in this playoff won vs the spread 10 times

ne
pit
gb


those are the 3 best teams

 

[Gravy]

Ace,If GB only had a run game this team might be the team to beat but I think that will bite them in the ass in these playoffs at some point

 

[ACE-ACE]

....

 

[gskiman]

As if making it too the Super Bowl wasn't enough motivation for GB, Aaron Rogers, (who was left off the NFC Pro Bowl roster) will have the opportunity to defeat the three QB's selected ahead of him, Vick in the Wildcard game, Ryan in the NFC semifinal, and possibly Brees in the NFC Championship. Good chance that GB, follows in the Steelers footsteps from several yrs ago and advances from the #6 seed on the road to the Super Bowl.

 

[Ezdoesit]

? about last 4 lines does that take into account at all that 1. all the eagles starters sat last week as it was pretty much a bye week? 2. GB last game was more like a playoff game for them, and also Rodgers was out for 2 of there last 4. Not trying to mess w/ what you have already and i'm sure you've thought about this in your years of capping, i just wanted to know if you have a variable in the equation that account for this? Or if this is something u think about after u get the line?

 

[ACE-ACE]

? about last 4 lines does that take into account at all that 1. all the eagles starters sat last week as it was pretty much a bye week? 2. GB last game was more like a playoff game for them, and also Rodgers was out for 2 of there last 4. Not trying to mess w/ what you have already and i'm sure you've thought about this in your years of capping, i just wanted to know if you have a variable in the equation that account for this? Or if this is something u think about after u get the line?

not factor in...its about the stats only...as I alway say this is only 50% of capping the game you have to do the other factors...its just one of many views of the game!

 

[ACE-ACE]

the performance of each NFL team only against opponents with winning records, or what we call Quality Teams. It eliminates the dead-weight detritus of games against second-stringers and gives you a look at the inner core of a team and lets you know how they perform when the sh*t gets heavy.

NO IS 3-3
SEA 2-5

NYJ 2-4
IND 2-3

BAL 4-3
KC 1-2

GB 4-3
PHI 4-2

GB 4-3
PHI 4-2

REST THAT IN THE PLAYOFFS

NE 7-1
PITT 3-4
ATL 5-3
CHI 3-3


LAST YEAR THE ONES WITH THE BEST RECORD GOT INTO THE SUPER BOWL

IF THAT IS THE CASE THIS YEAR

NE SHOULD PLAY ATL

 

[allaboutthecash]

the performance of each NFL team only against opponents with winning records, or what we call Quality Teams. It eliminates the dead-weight detritus of games against second-stringers and gives you a look at the inner core of a team and lets you know how they perform when the sh*t gets heavy.

NO IS 3-3
SEA 2-5

NYJ 2-4
IND 2-3

BAL 4-3
KC 1-2

GB 4-3
PHI 4-2

GB 4-3
PHI 4-2

REST THAT IN THE PLAYOFFS

NE 7-1
PITT 3-4
ATL 5-3
CHI 3-3


LAST YEAR THE ONES WITH THE BEST RECORD GOT INTO THE SUPER BOWL

IF THAT IS THE CASE THIS YEAR

NE SHOULD PLAY ATL

Doesn't Philly have a better record 4-2(67%) vs Atl 5-3(63%)

 

[ACE-ACE]

Doesn't Philly have a better record 4-2(67%) vs Atl 5-3(63%)

You keep me on my toes....you are right by a close 4percent

 

[CujoLatte]

All this shit is exactly why I follow you and leave you do all the studying lol d1g1t

Thanks Ace!

 

[Rawhide]

ACE do you have the Time of Poss #'s for the second round?